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Distressed Securities Investing
by Dion Friedland, Chairman, Magnum Funds
A company teetering on bankruptcy
doesn’t sound like a great investment opportunity, but in many instances it
can be -- for those who understand distressed securities investing. Distressed
securities are stocks, bonds, and trade or financial claims of companies in, or
about to enter or exit, bankruptcy or financial distress. The prices of these
securities fall in anticipation of the financial distress when their holders
choose to sell rather than remain invested in a financially troubled company.
These sellers may be reacting emotionally to the stigma of current or potential
bankruptcy, causing them to overlook or ignore the company’s true worth. In
cases like these, investment professionals who specialize in researching
distressed securities and who understand the true risks and values involved can
scoop up these securities or claims at discounted prices, seeing the glow
beneath the tarnish.
A distressed opportunity typically
arises when a company, unable to meet all its debts, files for Chapter 11
(reorganization) or Chapter 7 (liquidation) bankruptcy. Chapter 7 involves
shutting a company’s doors and parceling out its assets to its creditors.
Chapter 11 gives the company legal protection to continue operating while
working out a repayment plan, known as a plan for reorganization, with a
committee of its major creditors. These creditors can be banks who’ve made
loans, utilities and other vendors owed for their goods and services, and
investors who own bonds. Stock holders are also among the constituents, though
when it comes to dividing up the assets of the company they are paid back last
and usually very little, if anything. If in a bankruptcy a company does not have
sufficient assets to repay all claims, the stock holders will get wiped out as
they are last in line to receive any of the proceeds from the liquidation or
reorganization. So a distressed securities investor focuses mostly on the bank
debt, the trade claims (claims held by suppliers owed for goods or services by
the company), and the bonds (which can vary in terms of their place on the
bankruptcy-claim totem pole, with senior bonds paid ahead of junior, etc.) when
looking for bargain-priced securities.
The strategy is to capitalize on the
knowledge, flexibility, and patience that a distressed securities fund manager
has that the creditors of a company often do not have. Many institutional
investors, like pension funds, are barred by their charters or regulators from
buying or holding onto below investment -grade bonds (BBB or lower) – even if
the company is a viable one. So they may sell at steeply discounted prices which
has the effect of lowering prices further. And banks often prefer to sell their
bad loans (which are no longer paying interest) in order to remove them from
their books and to use the freed-up cash to make other investments. Plus, a bank
is not in the business of trying to figure out how a reorganization process,
which can last several years, will be resolved for the creditors. Likewise,
holders of trade claims are in the business of producing goods or providing
services and have no expertise in assessing the likelihood of getting paid once
a company has filed for Chapter 11. When Barney’s Inc. filed for Chapter 11 in
early 1996, for example, many clothing designers chose to sell their trade
claims and recoup a portion of their money – if only to cover their production
costs. It didn’t matter whether Barney’s was a solid company that had simply
over-borrowed. Investors who knew this and believed the company would emerge
successfully out of bankruptcy and pay back a large portion of these trade
claims purchased the claims for as low as 25 cents on the dollar; the price
subsequently rose 50 percent within months when it was announced a potential
buyer for Barney’s had been found.
"As companies get into financial
trouble," explains Steve Van Dyke, president and chief executive officer of
Bay Harbour Management, a large investor in the Barney’s distressed bonds and
trade claims, "there is usually the opportunity to buy at steep discounts
from people to whom money is owed who don’t want to or can’t wait for the
reorganization to be completed."
How do investors like Van Dyke know
when the distressed company is worth investing in? For one thing, they study the
events driving down the value of a company’s securities. Maybe, like with
Barney’s, the company overexpanded or diversified but still has a strong core
market. Or maybe it is in debt due to a lawsuit or natural disaster not related
to the viability of its core business. Or maybe it has management problems that
a change in leadership can correct. In short, this may be a viable company whose
price slide doesn’t reflect its real worth.
Investors also conduct extensive
calculations to determine if the purchase price of the security is below not
only its potential value but its bare-bones liquidation value. In other words,
they ask themselves, How much would the claim be worth if the company’s assets
were divided among the creditors? If, in a simplified example, the company has
$75 million in assets and $100 million in debt, its assets would be divided at
an average of 75 cents on the dollar to its creditors, less all expenses
incurred in realizing those assets (assuming all the debt has the same
priority). Creditors, who don’t have the knowledge, interest, ability, or time
to make such an analyses, may sell their claims at much lower prices than they
would ultimately be worth, in which case the investor who buys the claims or
securities may be doing so at a large discount to liquidation value.
This analysis requires understanding
the different kinds of claims involved in a reorganization or bankruptcy, as not
all are paid back evenly and at the same time. A first mortgage that’s backed
by the collateral of a company’s property has higher priority than a second
mortgage when it comes to which gets paid first and at what portion of face
value. The second mortgage, in turn, has priority over an uncollateralized loan
or trade claim, which, for their part, are senior to publicly held bonds that
are not secured by the assets of the company. Holders of senior or secured
securities, then, may get back all or most of their claims (depending on the
company’s assets), while junior or unsecured bond holders will get less. The
distressed securities investor analyzes this "debt structure" in
assessing the value of each security.
For example, when El Paso Electric
underwent a Chapter 11 reorganization, Dickstein Partners, which specializes in
distressed investments, bought junior bonds in the utility that had fallen to 50
cents on the dollar calculating that, after the holders of senior bonds were
paid in full, there would sufficient funds left over to more than cover the
investment. Senior mortgage bonds in the company were selling at close to par
(or 100 percent of their face value), so there was little upside. This is often
the trade-off in choosing between senior and junior debt: senior debt tends to
hold less risk but also offer lower potential returns; junior debt has less
guarantee of repayment, though its discounted purchase price offers higher risk
but also greater upside. Further, companies in the process of reorganizing their
debts often issue new shares to the junior creditors when they can’t repay
them in full. If a fund manager’s research gives him confidence that the
company will emerge from bankruptcy as a viable company (creating demand for its
equity), he will buy these junior bonds for the opportunity to receive shares in
the company.
Which is exactly what Dickstein
Partners did in the El Paso Electric investment. Understanding that the
company’s financial problems stemmed from expensive nuclear assets and
overleveraged balance sheets, and armed with knowledge that El Paso Electric,
with a steady customer base, had a 10-year rate freeze agreement with state
regulators that would assure an attractive level of predictable cash flow,
Dickstein bought the junior bonds expecting additional profits from shares
parceled out as part of the reorganization plan. Such shares are commonly
referred to as orphan equities when the issuer (the company) has no Wall Street
coverage. The lack of Wall Street coverage is due to the fact investment banks
tend not to view companies emerging from bankruptcy as potential clients.
Further, these companies are "tainted" in general by the financial
distress and thus do not make it onto the list of companies to which Wall Street
investment banks allocate expensive research resources. As a consequence, the
only people who are fully able to understand the value of these newly issued
"orphan equities" are investment professionals who took the time and
effort to adequately research the liquidation value of the company’s
securities, trade claims, or bonds during the Chapter 11 process. These
investors now profit from buying the newly issued "orphan equities" at
low prices, as other creditors who were issued these shares in exchange for
their claims dump them because they don’t understand their value. That’s
what happened after orphan equities were issued as part of El Paso Electric’s
plan for exiting bankruptcy in February 1996. First issued at $5 a share, the
stock dropped initially as less knowledgeable (or less patient) former
creditors, stuck with an unwanted investment, hastily sold their new holdings.
Seeing the opportunity, Dickstein purchased additional equity from these sellers
and watched as the stock steadily climbed over the next two years to over $9 a
share.
"Orphan equities can be very
profitable," explains Stephen Cornick, vice president at Dickstein
Partners, "as the investment community, at first overlooking the stocks,
gains more understanding and confidence in the values which ultimately leads to
Wall Street coverage and, as a result, higher prices."
In fact, according to a study out of
New York University’s Salomon Center and the Georgetown School of Business,
newly distributed stocks emanating from Chapter 11 proceedings during the period
1980-1993 outperformed the relevant market indices by over 20 percent during
their first 200 days of trading.
Such new stocks, too, tend to have little correlation to the bond and equity
markets, their prices already hammered so low and their coverage so far beneath
the radar of Wall Street they are little affected by market downswings. These
stocks, instead, tend to move when company-specific events are significant and
sustained enough to catch the eye of Wall Street.
Distressed securities investing, then,
has little stock market dependence or correlation to the performance of the
stock market, succeeding or failing based on how effective the investor’s
research has been in uncovering all of the variables specific to a distressed
company. The investor, if he’s employing this strategy wisely, will not only
know everything about the company and its financials but will have studied the
creditors involved in the reorganization as well. Their numbers, their
willingness to compromise, and the complexity of their claims help indicate how
long the reorganization will last, what the asset distributions will be, and
whether the expected returns are worth the wait. The investor seeking to best
capitalize on his investment may even go so far as to buy up enough of the
company’s debt or trade claims so as to earn a seat on the creditor committee
and have an influence in the distribution process. In theory, the creditor
committee decides on a plan of reorganization, which includes the issuance of
new equities to reduce the liabilities of the company -- so that when the
company ultimately exits Chapter 11, it emerges with a significantly stronger
balance sheet, often with even a greater equity-to-debt ratio than even its most
viable competitors.
Distressed securities investing allows
the investor who has gained adequate knowledge through his research and due
diligence to limit the downside of his investment by effectively buying $1 for
50 cents. This usually results in distressed securities investing yielding
consistent returns to competent practitioners of the strategy.
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